For dealers and OEMs alike, holiday weekends have become synonymous with increased shopping activity, bigger ad spend, and typically an uptick in sales. Think of all the advertisements you’ve seen tied to Presidents’ Day or Memorial Day weekend promotions; it certainly doesn’t hurt to capitalize on the extra day.

However, according to new data from Dealer.com’s DataView index and Dealertrack’s Credit Application Network, this Columbus Day weekend bucked the holiday trend—we witnessed a five percent drop in dealership visits, a one percent drop in vehicle detail page views (VDP), and a six percent drop in unique credit applications processed compared to the previous six weekends.

It wasn’t just this past 3-day weekend that hit a car-shopping rock block: Labor Day weekend also digressed from the usual uptick in shopping activity seen during three-day holiday weekends, with a three percent drop in dealership visits and only a slight increase in VDPs compared to the six prior weekends.

Long-weekend holidays earlier in the year sang a very different tune however. Both Presidents’ Day weekend and Memorial Day weekend delivered noticeable upticks in car-shopping activity, with a thirteen percent and four percent increase in dealership visits respectively. The downward trend we are currently seeing can be linked back to the four following factors:

Natural Disasters

Between the North California wildfires and Hurricane Nate, not to mention continued clean-up efforts from Hurricane’s Harvey and Irma, buying a car likely was not top of mind for a large number of Americans this past weekend. However, expect a demand for vehicles to rebound; Cox Automotive data indicates that damage from Harvey and Irma has created a need for 600,000 to 1 million replacement vehicles.

Over-Incentivizing

Dealers are currently struggling to increase demand further than they already have and, as a result, are offering incentives at significantly high rates. However, with so much incentive activity taking place daily, holiday weekends and the deals that go with them are understandably becoming less and less novel. With not enough foot traffic and too much inventory, dealers need to focus in on having a strong Q4 and cleaning out their inventory.

End of the Year

It’s mid-October and with this year’s lower SAAR on top of mind, dealers have their eye on reaching their end of year numbers rather than another holiday weekend. At the same time, school is back in session and families are focused on spending money on items other than a new car. Thus, holiday weekends, especially those later in the year, don’t seem to have the same charm they used to for both the dealer and the consumer. The only holidays that can likely crack this end of the year downward trend? Perhaps Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

The Day Itself

Yes, Columbus Day is a holiday weekend, but we have to take into consideration the fact that not everyone actually gets this holiday off.

While three-day holiday weekends provide unique windows to move metal, dealers need to be focusing in on having a strong end of the year and ensuring that they are investing in the right places, particularly when it comes to marketing. Many dealers are throwing money into all different promotional channels, from digital to traditional marketing spend in hopes that something will stick, but this is often an ineffective and expensive strategy. Dealers need to remember that it is about quality not quantity.

There are plenty of tools available to help dealers measure the quality of their marketing efforts to see if their investments are actually paying off. Advertising and offering incentives wisely will be key to finishing out the year with a bang—which will give any dealer a reason to celebrate.